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The numbers behind Kaizer Chiefs' struggles in front of goal

Kaizer Chiefs' form in front of goal in the league is seemingly getting worse
Kaizer Chiefs' form in front of goal in the league is seemingly getting worseKaizer Chiefs

Kaizer Chiefs had more shots at goal in Saturday’s Soweto Derby than rivals Orlando Pirates, but came away empty handed as they could not convert those chances into goals.

It has been a feature of this season for the side, who have not battled to create openings, but at times lacked the quality in the final third to finish them.

There have been pockets of excellence, such as Wandile Duba’s hattrick against TS Galaxy in the Carling Knockout, but they have been few and far between. 

And recently things have gotten worse. Chiefs have averaged almost exactly the same number of shots per game over their past four Betway Premiership matches as they did in their opening five, but their shooting accuracy has fallen from 40.9% to 22.2% and their goals from 2.2 per match to 0.75.

Chiefs have played 11 domestic matches in all competitions so far this season, winning four, drawing five and losing two.

Only 49 of their 155 shots have been on target, an accuracy rate of 31.6%. The remaining 106 have either missed the target or been blocked.

Their overall shot conversion rate is 11.0%, meaning approximately one goal for every 9.1 attempts. But when they do get it on target, things happen.

Betway Premiership standings
Betway Premiership standingsFlashscore

They have converted 34.7% of shots on target into goals, approximately one in every three shots. That is pretty good.

Overall they average 14.1 shots per game, with 4.5 shots on target and 1.55 goals per match.

But if we isolate their league stats, things are going south.

If we compare the first five games (vs Kruger United, Sekhukhune United, Mamelodi Sundowns, Richards Bay and Siwelele) to the last four (vs Polokwane City, Lamontville Golden Arrows, Stellenbosch FC and Orlando Pirates), their average number of attempts has actually increased slightly, from 13.2 to 13.5 per game.

However, their shooting accuracy has fallen by 18.7 percentage points, from 40.9% to 22.2%. They have attempted 54 shots in their past four league fixtures, with only 12 on target.

That is one goal every 18 shots in those four matches, compared with one every six attempts in their opening five. Their goal conversion rate has dropped from 16.7% to just 5.6%, approximately a threefold decline.

As such, Chiefs scored 11 goals in their opening five league matches, but only three in their next four.

Kaizer Chiefs' shooting accuracy in the 2026/27 domestic season
Kaizer Chiefs' shooting accuracy in the 2026/27 domestic seasonFlashscore

 

The games which have seen the most shots were against Golden Arrows in the MTN8 and Richards Bay, where the AmaKhosi had 21 in total in each.

The most they have managed on target was eight in the 2-2 draw with Richards Bay.

The game that delivered their fewest number of shots was against Mamelodi Sundowns, a game in which they had their best shooting accuracy with three of their four shots (75%) on target.

The fewest shots on target was the 0-0 draw with Golden Arrows in the Betway Premiership when they managed only one in the game.

Across two games against Golden Arrows this season they have had 32 shots at goal but only five on target and none in the back of the net.

Perhaps the most telling statistic is that Chiefs have attempted 100 shots in the seven domestic matches they have failed to win this season, scoring only six goals for a conversion rate of just 6%.

That is a stark contrast to their four victories, when they have scored 11 goals from 55 attempts, converting 20% of their shots. In other words, Chiefs have needed almost 17 attempts to score in games they have failed to win, compared with just five in their victories.

Nick Said has been covering African sport for almost three decades, specialising in football, rugby and cricket. He is based in Cape Town, South Africa and you can follow him on X and LinkedIn.

  

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