Ajax v AZ Alkmaar (31/10/2026)

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Ajax welcome AZ Alkmaar to the Johan Cruijff Arena for round 11 of the Eredivisie. Ajax enter this meeting as the clear favourite with a 55% win probability recorded two days before kickoff.

Current Form - Ajax

Ajax are second in the league with 21 points. Following a 2-1 away win at Sparta Rotterdam, the team holds a record of three wins and two draws in their last five matches and is currently on a six-match unbeaten run.

Current Form - AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar is in fifth place with 20 points. Coming off a 0-2 home loss to Twente, the team has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches and is currently on a three-match winless run.

Head-to-Head Record

There is an average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these two teams. Ajax has recorded two draws and three losses in their last five matches against AZ Alkmaar. Their most recent encounter last season ended in a 1-1 draw at AZ Alkmaar, where the result was a draw away for Ajax. AZ Alkmaar were unbeaten in their last 10 meetings against Ajax, a run of six wins and four draws.

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

Julian Brandt leads Ajax with six goals and two assists at an average rating of 7.8, while Tolu Arokodare has five goals and one assist, including three goals in his last five matches, at a 7.3 average match rating. Ajax will be without Caio Henrique, sidelined with a thigh injury, and Kasper Dolberg, who is out with a knee injury and has two goals and three assists this season.

Ro-Zangelo Daal contributes five goals for AZ Alkmaar, and Mexx Meerdink has four goals and two assists, including two goals in his last five matches, at a 6.6 average rating. AZ Alkmaar will be without Jizz Hornkamp, who is out with an injury and has two goals this season.

Key Numbers

↔️ Headed goals: Ajax 0.50 per match vs AZ Alkmaar 0.00 per match

Ajax

➕ Total shots: 22.2 per match (best in the league, league average 15.0)

➕ Touches in opposition box: 42.5 per match (best in the league, league average 27.7)

➕ Big chances conceded: 2.0 per match (2nd best, league average 2.9)

AZ Alkmaar

➕ Through passes: 1.9 per match (2nd best, league average 1.2)

➕ Shots on target conceded: 3.1 per match (best in the league, league average 5.3)

➖ Big chance conversion: 24% (worst in the league, league average 40%)

Match Notes

Lucas Rosa has picked up three yellow cards in his last six appearances for Ajax, while Ayoub Oufkir has received four yellow cards in his last 10 appearances for AZ Alkmaar. Owen Wijndal joined Ajax from AZ Alkmaar, where he scored three league goals in 105 appearances across six seasons. Mees de Wit now plays for AZ Alkmaar after coming through the Ajax academy, where he made zero appearances.

Betting Insights

Bookmakers set the goal line at 2.5, assigning a 69% probability to the total exceeding that mark. The both-teams-to-score market puts a 67% chance on both sides finding the net.

Goals implied by the odds: 3.6

These figures come from the pre-match odds two days before kickoff.

This content was generated using AI.

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