AC Milan v Inter (31/10/2026)

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Arguably the biggest fixture in Italian football headlines matchday ten of the Serie A season, as AC Milan look to bounce back from a midweek defeat against in-form defending champions Inter Milan in the Derby della Madonnina.

Match News and Current Form

AC Milan come into this game on the back foot after they squandered the lead to lose 4-2 to Bologna on Wednesday at San Siro, suffering their first Serie A defeat under Ruben Amorim’s leadership in the process (W5, D3). While that record appears more than respectable, only once since the 2019/20 season have the Rossoneri posted fewer points than their current haul of 18 after nine games, while they’re already seven points adrift of their pace-setting opponents here. Conceding at least twice in three of their last four competitive games points to defensive issues plaguing Amorim, who has seen two of his three losses at the helm come on home turf at San Siro (W3).

Lazio’s flying start to the season means Inter Milan are deprived of breathing space at the Serie A summit, with the Nerazzurri only on top due to having scored more goals. Two of those arrived rather fortuitously in midweek, as a pair of late own goals helped them past bottom-of-the-table Venezia, marking the first time that Inter have won eight of their opening nine Serie A games since 1988/89. The title unsurprisingly followed in that campaign, and Cristian Chivu’s men must be confident of taking another step towards retaining the Scudetto here, as while they’re the designated away side, Inter have won all five Serie A matches at San Siro this term.

Head-to-Head History

Having lost each of the six prior H2Hs, AC Milan are now unbeaten in their last seven matches against Inter in all competitions (W5, D2), their longest such run in this fixture in over 20 years. Inter lost both league meetings by a 1-0 scoreline last season.

Win Probability
Win ProbabilityOpta by StatsPerform

Hot Stats and Streaks

AC Milan took a league-low 27 corners across the first nine rounds in Serie A.

AC Milan have lost just one of their last 13 home league games in this kick-off slot (W7, D5).

Inter have scored a pre-round league-high nine goals beyond the 75th minute this term.

Inter have led just two Serie A matches at half-time this season (HT: D6, L1).

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

Young AC Milan sensation Alphadjo Cisse netted his first two goals at San Siro in midweek, and has notched the Rossoneri’s first goal in each of his four scoring appearances for the club. Hakan Çalhanoğlu scored Inter’s last H2H goal back in April 2025 and has also picked up a joint career-high six yellow cards against his former side.

Fikayo Tomori added to AC Milan’s injury concerns in midweek, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Diego Moreira and Adrien Rabiot already sidelined. Inter are still without captain and talisman Lautaro Martínez.

For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.

Betting Analysis

Under 2.5 goals would have paid out in four of the last five H2Hs, which makes it a tempting option here given both sides’ injury problems.

Author: Ryan Fisher

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